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Proposed Doubling of Gaming Machine Duty Puts Genting Casinos UK Venues at Risk

Written by Morgan Lehmann · Sep 30, 2026

Proposed Doubling of Gaming Machine Duty Puts Genting Casinos UK Venues at Risk

UK casino interior showing gaming machines and staff at work

The UK Treasury has advanced a proposal that would double machine gaming duty from 20% to 40% on land-based gaming machines, a change that Genting Casinos UK states threatens the viability of 13 out of its 32 venues based on the company's internal modeling. That modeling projects more than 850 jobs directly at risk along with additional support roles tied to those operations. Observers note the proposal targets physical machines in casinos and arcades rather than remote gambling platforms, a distinction that shapes how operators calculate margins and plan capital spending.

Genting Casinos UK CEO Paul Willcock outlined these concerns in a City A.M. op-ed, where he explained that the higher rate would discourage fresh investment while shrinking overall Treasury receipts once venues close. Willcock pointed to the possibility that activity could migrate toward unregulated operators if licensed sites become unsustainable. The company has highlighted upcoming projects such as a £50 million transformation of the Trocadero site in London, developments that the higher duty could delay or cancel according to the same internal projections.

Details of the Treasury Proposal and Immediate Effects

Under the current 20% rate, land-based operators pay machine gaming duty on gross profits from gaming machines, a levy that has remained stable for several years. The proposed jump to 40% would apply across the same category of machines found in casinos, betting shops, and adult gaming centres. Genting's analysis shows that 13 of its 32 UK sites would move into unprofitable territory once the new rate takes effect, because fixed costs including rent, staffing, and regulatory compliance already consume a large share of revenue at many locations.

Those 13 venues employ the bulk of the 850 positions flagged in the modeling. Additional support roles in procurement, marketing, and central administration would also face pressure as the company adjusts its footprint. Data from the operator indicates that several sites operate with relatively thin profit margins even under present tax conditions, so the doubled duty would push them below break-even within the first year of implementation.

Arguments Presented by Genting Leadership

Casino floor with roulette tables and patrons during busy hours

Willcock argued that the tax increase would reduce rather than increase net revenue to the Treasury because closed venues generate zero duty. He noted that the company has maintained consistent contributions through employment taxes, business rates, and the existing machine gaming duty payments. The op-ed further warned that customers displaced from licensed premises might turn to illegal or offshore options that escape taxation entirely, a shift that has been documented in other jurisdictions after abrupt tax hikes on regulated operators.

The £50 million Trocadero redevelopment stands as one concrete example of planned investment that could stall. That project includes expanded gaming space, hospitality upgrades, and new entertainment offerings designed to attract both domestic and international visitors. Genting's modeling shows that the higher duty would lengthen the payback period beyond acceptable thresholds for board approval, effectively freezing the spend until market conditions improve.

Broader Context for Land-Based Casino Operators

Other land-based operators have faced similar margin pressures from rising operational costs and changing consumer habits, yet the machine gaming duty proposal singles out one specific revenue stream. Industry data compiled by trade bodies indicates that machine gaming accounts for a substantial portion of casino revenue in the UK, making any rate change immediately visible on profit-and-loss statements. Genting's situation illustrates how a uniform tax increase can produce uneven outcomes depending on venue size, location, and customer demographics.

Those who have reviewed Genting's figures point out that the 13 affected sites include a mix of high-street and leisure-park locations where footfall has recovered unevenly since earlier economic disruptions. The modeling incorporates assumptions around player spend per visit, average machine occupancy, and ancillary revenue from food and beverage outlets, all of which feed into the final profitability calculation under the proposed 40% rate.

Conclusion

The Treasury proposal to double machine gaming duty therefore places Genting Casinos UK at a clear decision point regarding venue sustainability and future capital projects. The company's internal analysis supplies specific numbers on job losses and site closures, while the CEO's public comments outline the revenue and regulatory risks that could follow implementation. Observers continue to track how the consultation process develops and whether adjustments to the rate or relief measures emerge before any final legislation.